I got to thinking about the climate change conference in Copenhagen and I’ve come to the conclusion that it’s not going to do jack.
Now before you go thinking of me as an environment hater, let me assure you that I am not. I tend to side with the hippies on this one. At the very least we need to study the problem more to figure out what is happening and how to stop it, if it can be stopped. But Copenhagen is not going to do that and I don’t think Canada should agree to anything there. Here’s why.
When you look at carbon dioxide emissions per capita, Canada looks really bad, in fact we are number 10 on the list just behind the U.S. and just ahead of Australia. But this is a global problem so per capita means nothing – we must consider total man-made CO2 output of the entire planet. And when you look at total carbon dioxide emissions per country you get a much different picture.
Canada is 8th on that list, still a fairly shameful place to be, but the numbers speak for themselves. 51.8 percent of the CO2 in the world is generated by the top five countries and those countries are: China, United States, Russia, India and Japan. If Canada slashes CO2 emissions by one quarter we are only saving the world around 136,000 tonnes of CO2, a spit in the bucket compared to those lot. In fact, a 10 percent cut in CO2 by China or the U.S. is more than all the CO2 that Canada emits in a year.
To make the greatest change to CO2 emissions would require tremendous change from those five for there to be any real global impact. The rest of the world can agree to punishing sanctions and it really isn’t going to do much except cause suffering in those countries.
And this is why Copenhagen is going to fail. What do you suppose the chances are that any of those five countries besides maybe Japan, are going to agree on substantial reductions in CO2?